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Basically the play is on the movement and cashing in gets you real profit. The unrealised losses equals it but since it's unrealises it does not matter since it does not need much of margin anyway. The main play will be when in a trending market you havebcases in one side and built up losses on the unteise side. You have to wait for the market to retrace at least 50% and in that rereacement you will bebunwinding the position in profit and addingbreal profits to your equity. At this stage you cannot keep on opening positions else you real equity will never bebpositive due to unrealised losses on the losing side of the hedge
Hello Alex……in areas where hedging is not allowed can this be done on say negative correlated pairs…? what do you think…?
Hello dear Alex this ea is available now I bought complete package but this is not available in package I want Forex bouncer EA
I think pruning might be the trick here. Balanced lot sizes will create a perfect hedge, so there are no huge draw downs, and there are no real profits or loss (except for commissions, spread and swap); but when the market starts to go in a certain direction, you momentarily create an imbalance in the lot sizes by closing the trade with the biggest loss; if price continues in that opposite direction you have then made profit coupled with the previous locked in profit to outweigh the huge loosing trade.
Trading is a gradual and profitable process especially when the hands of an expert trading on your behalf. It takes time, determination, money and patience to become a successful trader.
Hey Alex, did you do a follow up video on this subject?
when you will issue the new video about that EA
this is dumb! your account always grows and equity always grows to the other side 🙁 no profits at all at the end AND the costs for the broker are your losses so you LOSE. This is what happens! This video is ******* i am sorry
Hi Alex, Thanks for the video. Waiting for the sequence videos to see how it works. thanks 🙂
This system seems to me similar to Time of Day Hedge ea.
Probably a bit variation where instead of opening up a trade depending on a set time, the Full Hedge ea opens up trades not condition upon time setting.
This system consists of two components in real time: One containing the profits and the other being a conglomerate of fully hedged trades. Then the aim is to close all hedged trades when the sum of trading costs (spread) is less than the total profits accumulated. Also profits finance new deals. I am not sure though about how (new) leverage restrictions in the EU restrict maximum profits exactly. Meaning, all things being equal, will a leverage of 500 allow it to run longer than a leverage of 50? Or in other words, is there a ceiling forcing all open trades to be closed (and start again)? By the way, Renko charts should be used here for better clarity and one needs to think about exact lot sizes in regards to the (initial) balance to maximize the system.
Interesting strategy. Lots of ways you can get killed here though. Lets play this out. I make a trade for say 1 lot both ways. My market moves 20 points. OK. i made 20 points – costs on one trade. I cashed that out. I am still sitting badly in the red on the opposing trade. So…now i go 2 lots in my move direction and 1 opposing. The market moves in favour of the 2 lot trade and i make double what i did the first time around but i have also lost as much. So far…only person really making any cash is my broker. Now if i continue this i go 3 one way and another the other way. Still. no matter which way the market actually moves. I make zero because i am always in the red as much as black. But wait…i actually lost money because i paid my broker. Good way to slowly see your account killed by fees. Correct this by playing the trend. At my 20 point position i can close my losing trade and hold my winning one…i can also add more points to my winning position. I add risk. The market turns…i lose big. The market continues on the trend and i win big. honestly i would be tempted to start at a zero position and tell my bot to take the first X point move in a direction. Pips / time to establish trend and odds of continue. I do get the whole maximum lots i can trade point. Always in a zero margin spot. But….you are counting on the market to reverse and the only way you actually ever do win really is if you are not hedged for a move.
the balance will increase however the equity will be zero 0
This is a very brilliant idea. You have the most amazing ideas of ways to exploit the Forex market without any directional bias and I have learnt a lot from you…. With just this explanation I have understood the concept already and I look forward to the next video.
Looking forward to see your next video, and I hope that it not just another scam on YouTube in order to get more views.
If this is making a positive gain i feel like like this is breaking space-time continuum of sorts haha. really interested in your next video
Theory tells me that it wouldn't work for 2 reasons: 1. In some cases (during extraordinary trends/black swan events you'd need a lot size that wipes your account out. 2. Overnight costs may are not taken into account … Please show a backtest for – let's say – 10 years and we'll see how it will work out and if it is tradeable for retailers with a relatively small account (compared to hedge funds).
I like the idea, but I can foresee one issue, which is a possible margin call when closing one leg of the trades. For a brief moment between closing the winning leg and opening a new set of trades, you are no longer hedged, and the losing trades could quite possibly exceed your margin requirements, triggering a margin call before the new trades can be opened…unless the closing and opening can be staggered somehow to avoid this?
Wooooha! The kind of EA I will love to watch working on a live account….and buy if it works as expected. Let's see that Mr. Du Plooy.
which brokers let you have zero margin required when you are on a hedged posicion (same lots for buy(s) and sell(s))?? I think all brokers require margin, no matter if you are perfectly hedged… name a few of those brokers, please.
For those who knows how the GTM works, you will know that this technique could actually work too. I know it somewhat defies logic , because it seems like every win will be canceled by a similar loss end of the day. But no, it doesn't because there is a multiplier effect when prices re-visit the same levels again and again. End the day, there will be some losses, but your equity has grown quite large to still produce an overall profit after offsetting those loses. It is hard to explain how this work, and it is even harder to do it manually. Can't wait for the next video!
Looking forward to the next video here, now that's for sure. – Exciting stuff! – Cheers – 🙂
Still wondering how this strategy will not blow accounts. However, I am on standby for the promised next video to clear my doubts. Lol.
Love the concept Alex, can't wait to see it in action
How can this work? Because your loses be equal to your winninings? Not even taking unto account your spread because you be loosing all the way. Even of you cashed in on your winning positions your loosing positions are still open. Maybe in a side way market and with lots of dumb luck you might win some
My broker will not let me hedge. Which is what you are doing
To get out of the total hedge and trades, because you can NOT simply cash in positive trades, because as Alex says the trade lot size keeps getting bigger and bigger – UNTIL the Broker STOPS your ability to increase Lot Size. Some will let you trade as many as 100 Lots but not too many will, which is where this all falls apart. The progressively bigger loses offset the progressively bigger profits and you will be playing a Zero Sum game, save for the Spreads & Slippage, which will occur! At some point in order to actually REALIZE a Profit, you MUST close ALL positions. Period! If you want to just do this instead of actually learning to trade so that you can be truly profitable, you can. But, ONLY do it on a Demo account, otherwise, you will lose your money. There is ONE and ONLY one way to make this actually work…you have to know how to trade, to start. That way as you manage theses trades, you can identify an actual TREND DIRECTION, so that once you have made some bucks and now have a lot of open trades that are technically negative (losses) accumulations, the trend will turn back into their favor and you can start closing the most recent trades for profit without opening the "balancing trades" (which by now would have started accumulating losses themselves) because the TREND has turned into the losing trade positions making them profitable. But keep in mind as soon as all of the profitable trades are closed and no new "balancing trades" are opened, the account Equity and Balance will show virtually the same amount of money that you originally started out with, except for any Spreads/Slippage, etc. that wasn't calculated into the profitable trades based upon the currency you are trading. AND, TRUST ME WHEN I SAY THIS, because I have tried to do this without a robot. You will eventually have so many open trades that you CAN NOT humanly manage them – YOU WILL GET LOST and that is when the account you are trading BLOWS UP! If not before! A Robot can do this, no problem, but there is a problem. Remember I said to ACTUALLY REALIZE a profit, (that you can withdraw and pay your bills, etc) ALL trades must be closed so a REAL profit is realized, then, as Alex says you can start all over again (basically turning the robot back on, so to speak), but you will still need the robot to manage all of the many open trades, unless you have placed a Take Profit Target and Stop Loss so they close themselves. This is a SLIGHTLY loose explanation but the heart of it is very real. Unless, of course, Alex has figured out how to get around the limit of Lot Size with Brokers and how to close trades without opening new "balancing trades", so that one day you can actually withdraw your profits. I would love to see this happen, so I can go to Tahiti for vacation (just kidding – I don't want to go there!).
I love this idea. Ultimately, the only losses will be the spreads on each transaction and the spread gap between the initial buy and sell. It would be a lot of work without an EA. I see this as having the potential to outperform the GTM currently being promoted because the open trades are hedged instead of producing compounding drawdown like you have with GTM. I'm eager to see the next video on this.
Really an EXCELLENT way of trading. Just demo trade and understand what is to be done.
Looks like a brilliant strategy and EA. In order to use this in the US, we would have to use two accounts. One for buys and one for sells, but then the EA would not work or am I wrong?
That will be fine for the 80% of the time the market goes sideways.
I don't feel it would work on a trending market, such as EURTRY or CHFSGD, where I was ONLY Short and made 800% and 1000% in Sep/Oct 2018. I cannot imagine being hedged for that: I would have a heap of open Longs RIGHT NOW – and paying Swaps of 24% on EURTRY!! No way!
YOUR DISCLAIMER: USE ONLY ON SIDEWAYS MARKETS
GTM or Full Hedge. Decisions Decisions. Bah. I'll probably get both. I love TOD Hedging on FX. I'll probably end up with three hedge funds by the time I'm done.
I would love to demo this strategy. Are you going to offer this as an ea for purchase?
This sounds good, but at some point the chickens have to come home to roost so to speak, meaning your balance sheet will show positive gains, but the open trades will be offsetting any realized gains (especially factoring in pip spread and slippage). It won't actually work until you close all trades, and one side of the trade is profitable without being offset by an opposing losing hedged trade.
For example, if one opens a buy and a sell at the same time and price goes up 20 pips and the trader closes the buy trade for +20 pips, there will still be the sell order which will be minus 20 pips, so essentially the trader is still at break even (actually negative some money with spread and any slippage). The trader will only be in profit if they close the sell trade at a point less than 20 pips. One can keep entering buy and sell trades (hedging) all day long, but they are simply offsetting their gains and losses.
Please show live trades
Show the trade live