Anti-Martingale System: Profit By Reversing "Classic" Martingale Strategy 👊
Ver Vídeo: Anti-Martingale System: Profit By Reversing "Classic" Martingale Strategy 👊
Anti-Martingale trading strategy – we’ve talked martingale about position sizing; let’s now talk anti-martingale. http://www.financial-spread-betting.com/strategies/martingale-and-anti-martingale.html PLEASE LIKE AND SHARE THIS VIDEO SO WE CAN DO MORE! Just a reminder – martingale is when you double your positions every time to recover your losses. We’ve talked about the dangers of that and the opportunities for that system to use in the right environment. But let’s talk about the opposite – the anti-martingale is the complete opposite to the martingale.
Reverse martingale strategy. The anti-martingale strategy involves increasing or doubling up your position size when you are winning which makes sense. Of course you can adjust it anyway you want. If you lose your next trade will be half your stake
So say you stake 1 unit. If you win, you stake 2, if you win again you stake 4 and if you win again you stake 8
But should you lose you stake 1/2 unit, if you lose again you stake 1/4 unit..etc
The idea with that is that is you are on a losing streak, you need to reduce your position size.
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İt's very hard
This strategy is very useful, but on one condition, you must return to the first condition after three consecutive wins and do not double again.
Completely useless.You start by 1 unit and win,then double it 2 and win and the double it 4 and win and then double it 8 and loose.So finally 1+2+4=7 win and 8 lost,you can make the next maths.!!!!!!!
this anti martingale strategy has a potential of wiping out all the consecutive wins you just made with one bad “timing” trade because of “greed” of doubling up after winning. On the other hand martingale is like revenge trading where you try to win back all the losses you just made “but” it only takes 1 good trade in a series to win. if you couple martingale with a high win rate entry, it puts the odds in your favor. Both will be capital intensive, since you double everytime, the stakes gets bigger. antimartingale just needs 1 bad trade to loose it all while martingale just needs 1 good trade to win it all. its a choice or a no choice and not do either…. hmmm
no man .. this will not work !!!
this doesn't work at all, i tried it with 6 different games.
Put your money on a table and show us.
plz make video on grid trading
This is worst than martingale, you doubling up the winning and when the higher lot loss all your winning will turn into loss. This guy is maybe an anti trader, and more into broker side 😀
I can make any strategy look good on the paper. Show me a real trading accout that profits using anti-martingale, dude.
THANK YOU
Thanks for this video!
The strategy is too dangerous
Mark, have you used this sizing strategy before to grow a small account into a large one?
I use a strategy as in first bet if maket is going up i put 1 and if it goes well above and suddenly jumps down then i am doubling my money otherwise i will make the same trade again
Compounding innit
This sounds like a horrible idea.
you double on every winning position and end up losing one trade, clearing all wins and entering a loss…… I dont see the point!!! sounds good in theory but not practcal
400 MA still the best
Floaters is the main problem in all EAs, then it reduces the accumulated profits.
Thanks
I'm risking 2% of my capital in one trade. This is my anti-martingale.
1 chance / 37 .
I think the benefit here is when you are on a losing streak, but there isn't anything different about your trade set up, entry, exit, stop loss placement etc, (your strategy and analyses methodology), doubling down can keep you in the game for less skin at risk – thus, psychologically, it can help and give you time to get yourself back on track – especially when markets are behaving 'strangely'… and if you are on a winning streak, perhaps because markets are behaving logically again, (like correlations moving back into line), then its not just you who recognises this, and thus its likely the market will accelerate in the same direction for an extended period of time, then it makes sense to add to the positions and even double up…
What if you 3x your bet instead of doubling it? Bet $0.50 – Lose. Bet $1.50 – Lose. Bet $4.50 – Lose .Bet $13.50 -Win ===== $27 won – $20 bet = $7 Profit. Then RESTART back at $0.50 again.
I use martingale since 3 years but i do not multiply by 2 you need to do the math and you need back testing to find the best multiplier and best time frame and every when you should buy (example: if the position loose 15 pips then buy again).
You guys need to spend time trying all currencies all time frames and every how many pips you should buy again and how much is the take profit.
Plus you need to be safe even if the market fall 3000 pips.
So martingale is goob but you need to think and do updates
stupidest thing ever.
NEVER bet everything you've won plus your original bet, you guarantee that the casino only needs to win a single bet against you to win back everything you've taken over n-rounds. what a fucking moron!!!
The optimal bet is a combination of 1/2 kelly criterion applied to min_MAX(v^currentBankroll-initialBankroll)
IE: a full (1/1) kelly bet is the player-advantage multiplied by their bankroll
a 1/2 kelly bet is mathematically the best in terms of reduction in volatility and maximizing earnings.
But settling for only ever playing 1/2 kelly means you earn less. What is better is to apply 1/2 kelly to a modified anti-martingale. NEVER increase your bet by simply rebetting + all your earnings, you simply increase the chance of you losing your original bet * the casino's advantage, which is usually going to eventually beat you.
Take the player advantage and multiply it by your bankroll/units. then take half of that. that is a 1/2 kelly bet. Now, flat betting is never fun, so once currentBankroll > initialBankroll + 3n(units*kellybets@currentAdvantage) we increase the base_kelly bet by a single unit. say if a kelly bet is $50, then we add $5 and now our base unit is $55 for-so-long-as we our current bankroll + the chips we have in front of us > our initial bankroll + 3n kelly bets+(any additional increments that are NEVER to exceed the actual 1/2 kelly bet total)
so if your bankroll is $10k, and your advantage and the number of units you can play mean that the optimal 1/2 kelly bet is $100 for a bet and you win 3 of those in a row, you can increase the bet by bet/n_units+1 to form a new bet so long as that new amount isn't greater than a full-kelly bet (which would be $200).
people I'm econometrist and I have being studying roulette results for FOUR YEARRSSS ..basically it has NOTHING to do with your betting level system !!!!!! I tried EVERY possible betting level system .. coldness is ALWAYS losing .. whatever you do … because quantitative spoken there are too many mismatches compared to right matches … in this case … EVERY betting level system have lost it's recovery potential .. when you bet there are two worlds … the real world and the bet world … the real world you can NOT change … this world is the real reality … with the bet world we PRETEND there to be a (fake) world while in reality this was not the case … an example .. if you bet 1 dollar on black and red fell , it means you lost 1 … next you bet 2 dollar … if red falls ,.. we PRETENDED there to be 2 reds (because we gave it a 2 value) for 1 real red out of the reality world … but at some point … you can not pretend anymore … the coldness is too high and the real world takes over … there is nothing more real than the real world … there are the true spins results, the true casino gambling game results … it basically has NOTHING to do with your betting levels … when will people finally get that .. the only thing that your betting levels do ..; is losing less in that same cold streak reality and win less because you keep the same flat bet … that's ALL what betting levels do … they are NOT the answer to coldness … NEVER … people win because they were lucky and they were in the right hot streak … and that's really ALL … there are only TWO answer for coldness … 1) playing safe and reduce your spin participations enormously and try to get a positive expectancy value again based on your coldest session you ever had … but this will imply a LOTTTT of waiting time … because you reduced the spin participations it means you are only going to focus on more rare events .. to get that positive expectancy value again … 2) do not reduce the spin participations , but then you need a right stop loss calculation and the profit is thanks to all your playing sessions all together … betting levels are NOT the answer to coldness .. once and for all … BELIEVE ME … I know what I'm talking about !!!!
oh wow…nice. Anti-Martingale strategy. Never would have thought.This has inspired me. Thanks alot for the simple explanation!
The issue with this is its assuming each move is one unit. When the price move each day will be completely different.
This strategy might work in SOME systems, but not in all of them, especially the ones when your betting is based on pure gambling.
it dosen't works for long run, end up you will found that you didn't win any money but pay for a high risk, no point, it will wasted your time.
This strategy is basically telling us to just let the house take our money. Let me explain: in Roulette, the green 0 tips the odds of the black and the red of being rolled towards the house by 6.6% in a 0-14 roll. This leaves the gambler with a 46.6% chance of hitting the color that they desire. With this strategy, it is saying that you need to be able to win a lot and then when you get into a losing streak that you don't lose all of your winnings and then some on top of it. With the house being favored with 56.6 – 46.6, the odds of you having a higher win rate to loss rate is clearly not there as there is a 10% difference in win – loss ratio. I don't see how the "Anti-Martingale" strategy could make any money in comparison to the "Martingale" strategy even in a coin flip as statistically speaking there is no profit ever being made because you are betting away half of your profit each time after each loss. Although the Martingale strategy is harmful and has it's bad run-through's, giving yourself enough safe bets with the martingale strategy, such as dividing your money by $1.023, to give yourself 10 bets is much more efficient than betting half of your winnings each time and letting the house take it all.
Why do Brits always say "ideaR" instead of "idea"?
Great video and well explained, anti martingale can lead to an early day if employed correctly with the right strategy.
the martingale strategy works great in sim- not so well in live trading. this anti martingale strategy is not much better. it would be better to open a position with example 5 contracts, every time it makes a pullback from a new higher high add 4 then 3 then 2 then 1 contract. this way your average cost will be below your stop which is behind each swing low. that way when you do get stopped out you have profit. the anti martingale your average price is way to close to current price and when you get stopped out you have a loss. eh.
Doubling down on bad bets
has got to be one of the dumbest things a human being can do
next to stabbing your eye with a sharp stick
NO money management system can change ANY odds associated with what you are doing
so never double down when you lose or win
flat bet
Nice set of videos first of all, quite fair and logical tips.
About the Anti-Martingale:
it's nice way of thinking. I would suggest the following:
1. Use it intraday and restart it on the next day (or week if it's swing trading strategy). So if you get a good streak on that day you will keep it. Otherwise at some point with such big stakes you will loose everything and will go to square one which is also demotivating as blowing your account with Martingale.
2. I would risk a little bit less when I am winning like if I won the first trade I will risk 1.5 units on the second, then I will risk 2 units on the third trade (1 + 1.5 + 2) = 4.5. If you get a forth trade with lot size 4 and you lost it, you will end up at least with 0.5 units winning for the day.
3. When you are on loosing streak probably it's good to have clear stop like after the third loosing order, stop trading for the day.