Does Tesla's Valuation Make Sense? 🤓 w/ Mayur Thacker
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Deep dive on what is priced in to Tesla’s current ~$850B fully-diluted valuation, featuring special guest Mayur Thacker. Starting …
Vídeo
Hey Gali, this is my favorite YouTube video of all time. Can you do an updated version with Mayur again? Thanks, Dan
Tesla's mkt cap will be bigger than Apple because the addressable market for Tesla products ($50k cars, solar roofs, energy, fsd? ) is larger than Apples ($1000 phones and software). Of the current top 10 companies by revenue, 8/10 are energy and auto companies. So even a lower ROIC will achieve much bigger market cap because the $ TAM size is bigger
Gali, you need to fact check your guest. He is making up his own numbers. If you run a proper ROIC calculation, Tesla creates a lower ROIC than Toyota, VW and GM. Only Ford comes in lower.
Saying big tech is 'in vogue' makes it sound transient when it isn't.
Love you new look
👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻🙌🏻
What is "the business polo" ??
TY.
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👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼. Great interview guys. 👍. Roic has been the reason why I got hooked on Tesla. When they purchased the Fremont factory from gm and tm in 2010 for under $50 mil. Capital efficiency is key! Good job guys!
So is the current valuation justified? Seems yes. Assuming Tesla energy really does grow to same level as their cars then hell yes 4680 project is critical
Thaker puts on a clinic of financial analysis! Brilliant, why doesn’t he do his own channel. Solid material.
I would love to see Tesla split again then rally then do another dilution. Dilute 100 billion dollars and throw it right into more production
Brilliant view boiled down to its essence.
The numbers are showing how hard it is for legacy auto to adopt because of heavy investment to old tech that will make those assets obsolete.
"Business polo" lol
Love the video quality of your new setup. Really good.
Mayur is one of the best sources for understanding Tesla's business. Great video!
Great video! It’s nice seeing you going back to what brought you to the dance. Your videos in your model Y are good but I haven’t seen a video like this in a long time. Thanks for turning me onto Rob Maurer’s channel…
Great interview, Gali and Mayur! Looking forward to the next one
You forgot about the Tesla Assurance.. add that to your calculation 🙂
Big tech scales so much easier hence the ROIC. Large TAM.
That damn light above him is terrible.
The assumption is that Tesla product demand grows endlessly. That's a BIG assumption as competition grows over time. Not saying it couldn't happen, just that the fanboi assumption that infinite Tesla income is "in the bag" is assuming a LOT.
If Tesla keeps screaming upward a long way over time by selling more and more cars with rapid growth, I'll end up selling half now and again, just like I did with MSFT between 1997 and 2000, selling half whenever it split.
But I believe in diversification and that the future isn't at all completely knowable. There's a big reason it's very hard to actively trade and outperform the overall market, over time.
Thanks for the information
Rate of doubling.. trouble with the curve(s). Heh.
Gali, love the interview but you need a professional to do your video editing. Why are we watching you sipping water? Lol
If you look at EBIT don’t compare to market cap but to enterprise value. Because from EBIT you are not just paying dividend and reinvestment but also interest on debt. Market cap excludes the debt. Enterprise value covers both market cap and debt.
Fantastic content, horrible lighting 🤣🤣
I prefer to use multiples based off of nongaap earnings minus reg credits.
Love you without your cap!! Bravo .. you shook it 👍👍✅
Brilliant content as always. Distracted by the awesome art in the background. Who’s the artist?
I feal sorry for the OEMs as they revamp there car models ever 4 years, Tesla evolves there car models everyday.
Great edit Gali! Good camera/audio quality and nice looking "studio". Only thing missing to give it 10/10 is Mayur recorded his video/audio locally.
Will the market really take more than 10 years to double, with all the money printing?
To me FSD, at $7k when I bought it, has already payed for itself.
technical factors don't necessarily determine business valuation. It's how much users and customers love the business products that determines it.
Thanks Gali! Excellent content.
excellent video, but you guys were talking past eachother quite a bit
Selling 4680 batteries to other manufacturers will have crazy margins!
Maybe Tesla can invest some of those billions in SpaceX which I believe will also have an insane high ROIC?
Great discussion, but the glare from the light above Mayur's head was super distracting.